Hull City 1-1 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Oct 2024

Hull City
1-1 HT 1-0
Burnley
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Hull City vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.29
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.99
X/2
17%
5.05
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.38
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hull City v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +30%
1.23/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.83
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +77%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.9 Crosses 14.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hull City vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Burnley
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-3 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
16.08.2022 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
25.02.2017 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
10.09.2016 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNP
06.02.2016 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
26.12.2015 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL

Hull City 1-1 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-1
AWAY Burnley
0.89 xG 0.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
331 Passes 470
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City and Burnley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Hull City had 42% of the ball to Burnley's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hull City and 1.17 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Burnley?

Hull City 1-1 Burnley in the England - Championship on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hull City 32%, draw 28%, Burnley 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burnley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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