Esenler Erokspor 3-1 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.83
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.56
X/2
10%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.01
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.09
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.06/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.94
+10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.4 Crosses 11.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Iğdır FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 0.82
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
196 Passes 523
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
3-1
AWAY Iğdır FK
2.60 xG 0.58
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
333 Passes 145
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
35 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor got the better of Iğdır FK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 65% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 35%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.60 to 0.58.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK?

Esenler Erokspor 3-1 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 41%, draw 26%, Iğdır FK 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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