Keçiörengücü 3-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.31
X/2
6%
8.94
X/X
14%
4.75
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
10%
7.17
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.55/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.56
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.9 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.33 xG 0.62
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
306 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
27.08.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
10.12.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
23.01.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
28.08.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
07.02.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
3-0
AWAY Adanaspor
1.90 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
288 Passes 212
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü swept aside Adanaspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 56% of the ball to Adanaspor's 44%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.90 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Keçiörengücü and 0.17 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Adanaspor?

Keçiörengücü 3-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 51%, draw 28%, Adanaspor 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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