Express 0-2 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 12 Feb 2025

Express
0-2 HT 0-2
BUL
📅12/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.7pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
+49% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Express
1W-1D-1L
AWAY BUL
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2024 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
20.04.2024 BUL BUL 2-0 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
26.10.2021 BUL BUL 0-1 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
0-2
AWAY BUL
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Express vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL beat Express 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; BUL found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Express had 63% of the ball to BUL's 37%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Express and 1.00 for BUL.

What was the final score of Express vs BUL?

Express 0-2 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Express 38%, draw 31%, BUL 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Express) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Express) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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