Real Esteli 1-1 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 12 Feb 2026

📅12/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.88/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.61
-44% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Diriangen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
25.09.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
18.08.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
06.04.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-4 HT 1-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
22.12.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-2 HT 2-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.12.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Esteli
1-1
AWAY Diriangen
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli and Diriangen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Esteli at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Esteli had 51% of the ball to Diriangen's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Esteli and 1.17 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Diriangen?

Real Esteli 1-1 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 46%, draw 22%, Diriangen 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Esteli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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