Matagalpa vs Jalapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matagalpa v Jalapa — Team-Based Signals
Matagalpa vs Jalapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Matagalpa
NİK
0-1
HT 0-1
Jalapa
NİK
Jalapa saw off Matagalpa 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Matagalpa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Matagalpa and 1.00 for Jalapa.
What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Jalapa?
Matagalpa 1-3 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Jalapa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 45%, draw 29%, Jalapa 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matagalpa) went the other way.