Hradec Kralove 1-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 45%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.00/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.66
-100% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jablonec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 1.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
28.09.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
02.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.03.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-4 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
11.09.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-2
AWAY Jablonec
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec squeezed past Hradec Kralove 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 54% of the ball to Jablonec's 46%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.83 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?

Hradec Kralove 1-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 26%, draw 27%, Jablonec 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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