Hull City 2-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 34% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
18%
3.96
X/2
9%
9.98
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
9%
8.81
2/X
10%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.48/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.35
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.2 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oxford United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
305 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.03.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
05.12.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İN1
17.01.2004 Hull City Hull City 4-2 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN2
16.08.2003 Oxford United Oxford United 2-1 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İN2
08.03.2003 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-1
AWAY Oxford United
1.66 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 239
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City nicked a narrow win over Oxford United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hull City had 55% of the ball to Oxford United's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.66 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hull City and 1.00 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Oxford United?

Hull City 2-1 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hull City 50%, draw 26%, Oxford United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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