Leeds United 2-0 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Mar 2025

Leeds United
2-0 HT 1-0
Millwall
📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
27.5
X/1
15%
3.41
X/2
7%
23.85
X/X
8%
6.79
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
5%
24.3
2/X
5%
33.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.07/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.56
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +32%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.9 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Leeds United vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Millwall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 1.01
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
459 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Leeds United Leeds United 0-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall FAK
06.11.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
17.03.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
17.09.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.01.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.10.2019 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 2-0 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
2-0
AWAY Millwall
0.90 xG 0.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
438 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United got the better of Millwall 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Leeds United had 61% of the ball to Millwall's 39%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 0.90 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leeds United and 1.17 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Millwall?

Leeds United 2-0 Millwall in the England - Championship on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 64%, draw 20%, Millwall 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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