Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Mar 2025

Stoke City
1-0 HT 1-0
Blackburn Rovers
📅12/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.71
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.17
X/2
13%
5.71
X/X
10%
3.94
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
18%
4.32
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.21/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.27
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.6 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
10.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1 HT 3-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
25.11.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
10.03.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
27.08.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.04.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.59 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
219 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City nicked a narrow win over Blackburn Rovers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stoke City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City had 43% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 57%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.59 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stoke City and 1.33 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 34%, draw 28%, Blackburn Rovers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
12 Mar 2025
22:45 Portsmouth vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
22:45 Leeds United vs Millwall Analysis →
22:45 Hull City vs Oxford United Analysis →
22:45 Watford vs Swansea City Analysis →