Leeds United 0-2 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 8 Feb 2025

Leeds United
0-2 HT 0-1
Millwall
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.15
X/1
16%
3.87
X/2
6%
11.0
X/X
13%
4.97
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
11%
9.72
2/X
6%
18.4
Value flag · 1/X at 16.15 — our 9% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 20%
-84% / -84% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
-100% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 64%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Leeds United vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Millwall
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.13 xG 1.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
443 Passes 176
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.11.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
17.03.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
17.09.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.01.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.10.2019 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
30.03.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL

Leeds United 0-2 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
0-2
AWAY Millwall
1.71 xG 0.70
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
525 Passes 255
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall got the better of Leeds United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leeds United had 65% of the ball to Millwall's 35%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.71 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leeds United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.17 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Millwall?

Leeds United 0-2 Millwall in the England - FA Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 50%, draw 28%, Millwall 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ BTTS No
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