Stoke City vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
2-2
HT 2-1
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-1
Stoke City
İNCL
Stoke City 3-3 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City and Cardiff City couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Stoke City had 49% of the ball to Cardiff City's 51%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 2.08 to 1.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stoke City and 1.50 for Cardiff City.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Cardiff City?
Stoke City 3-3 Cardiff City in the England - FA Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Cardiff City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 38%, draw 27%, Cardiff City 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stoke City), Under 2.5 went the other way.