Everton 0-2 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.89
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.66
X/2
13%
5.53
X/X
10%
4.45
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.75
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 40%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.06/4.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.93
+150% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
24.0 Crosses 10.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
292 Passes 319
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
31.08.2024 Everton Everton 2-3 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
30.03.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.10.2023 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
28.05.2023 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
12.11.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-2
AWAY Bournemouth
1.12 xG 2.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
338 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 29
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Everton vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth beat Everton 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Bournemouth made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Everton had 58% of the ball to Bournemouth's 42%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.12 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.50 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Everton vs Bournemouth?

Everton 0-2 Bournemouth in the England - FA Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 38%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
8 Feb 2025
15:15 Leeds United vs Millwall Analysis →
15:15 Leyton Orient vs Manchester City Analysis →
18:00 Stoke City vs Cardiff City Analysis →
18:00 Coventry vs Ipswich Town Analysis →
18:00 Southampton vs Burnley Analysis →
18:00 Wigan Athletic vs Fulham Analysis →