Coventry 1-4 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.63
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.44
X/2
10%
5.9
X/X
18%
4.28
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
18%
4.12
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.01/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/1.79
-34% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 20.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2024 Coventry Coventry 1-2 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.12.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
07.03.2020 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
10.12.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Coventry Coventry FAK
07.12.2019 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
01.12.2019 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-4
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.50 xG 1.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
381 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town cruised past Coventry 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Ipswich Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Coventry had 53% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.50 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coventry and 1.17 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Ipswich Town?

Coventry 1-4 Ipswich Town in the England - FA Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Coventry 36%, draw 30%, Ipswich Town 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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