Leyton Orient 1-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.0
2-3 Goals
32%
2.07
4-5 Goals
36%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
22.1
1/2
6%
21.55
1/X
4%
30.0
X/1
5%
26.0
X/2
23%
3.83
X/X
13%
10.2
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.33
2/X
4%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+8.8pp
21%
Draw
13%
+8.0pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 84%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.00/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.12/0.83
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 529 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.8
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-2
AWAY Manchester City
1.14 xG 3.65
27% Ball Possession 73%
13 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
137 Passes 514
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 62
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 27% of the ball to Manchester City's 73%, shots finished 13-24, expected goals 1.14 to 3.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City's control.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Manchester City?

Leyton Orient 1-2 Manchester City in the England - FA Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 17%, draw 21%, Manchester City 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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