Bournemouth vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Everton — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Bournemouth
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Bournemouth
İNP
3-0
HT 2-0
Everton
İNP
4-1
HT 1-0
Everton
İNLK
Bournemouth 1-0 Everton — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth edged past Everton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 58% of the ball to Everton's 42%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bournemouth and 1.33 for Everton.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Everton?
Bournemouth 1-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Everton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 52%, draw 25%, Everton 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.