Southampton 0-5 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.74
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
9%
7.0
X/2
16%
4.94
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
22%
2.9
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.14/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.38
-47% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.3 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Brentford
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.10 xG 1.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
397 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Brentford Brentford 3-1 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
15.03.2023 Southampton Southampton 0-2 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
04.02.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-0 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
07.05.2022 Brentford Brentford 3-0 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
11.01.2022 Southampton Southampton 4-1 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
16.09.2020 Southampton Southampton 0-2 HT 0-2 Brentford Brentford İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
0-5
AWAY Brentford
0.29 xG 4.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 2
398 Passes 393
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford swept aside Southampton 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Southampton had 51% of the ball to Brentford's 49%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.29 to 4.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southampton and 2.33 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Brentford?

Southampton 0-5 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Southampton 33%, draw 22%, Brentford 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brentford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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