Tottenham vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Newcastle United
HAZ
4-1
HT 2-0
Newcastle United
İNP
6-1
HT 5-0
Tottenham
İNP
1-2
HT 0-2
Newcastle United
İNP
Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United nicked a narrow win over Tottenham 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Newcastle United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Tottenham had 57% of the ball to Newcastle United's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.94 to 2.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Newcastle United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tottenham and 2.67 for Newcastle United.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Newcastle United?
Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Newcastle United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 35%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.