Gwangju 3-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.41
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
26%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.35
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
15%
6.69
X/2
17%
4.69
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.11
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 46%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.41/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.57
+108% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.3 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.22 xG 1.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
352 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju AŞMP
05.11.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
3-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.22 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
470 Passes 259
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju ran out comfortable winners over Vissel Kobe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gwangju had 60% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 40%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.22 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gwangju and 2.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Vissel Kobe?

Gwangju 3-0 Vissel Kobe in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 34%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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