Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
8%
13.45
X/X
11%
6.77
2/1
14%
20.65
2/2
6%
10.95
2/X
5%
19.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.88/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.88
+6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.5 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.43 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 463
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale AŞMP
23.10.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
4-0
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.49 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
396 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale cruised past Shanghai Shenhua 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 55% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.49 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.50 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 Shanghai Shenhua in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 59%, draw 22%, Shanghai Shenhua 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ BTTS No
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