Viktoria Köln 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.78
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.94
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.68
2/X
8%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.74/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.31
+27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.5 Crosses 22.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
23.01.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
23.08.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
13.02.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
09.08.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 HT 0-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.10.2015 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
435 Passes 267
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Viktoria Köln made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 59% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 41%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.17 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Viktoria Köln 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 36%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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