Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
2-1 HT 0-0
Viktoria Köln
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
9%
7.87
X/X
14%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
12%
5.3
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.78/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.60
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
– Crosses 10.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
23.08.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
13.02.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
09.08.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 HT 0-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.10.2015 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln ALMBÖL
22.03.2015 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
316 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Köln 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 54% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 46%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.17 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln?

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 45%, draw 26%, Viktoria Köln 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024
15:00 Sandhausen vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
15:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →
15:00 1860 München vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →
15:00 Verl vs Unterhaching Analysis →
17:30 Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt Analysis →