Sandhausen 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.89
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.9
X/2
8%
6.78
X/X
14%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.54
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.48
+34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.0 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 4-2 HT 4-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
09.12.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.07.2014 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
2-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 6
261 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen edged past Waldhof Mannheim 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandhausen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 45% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 55%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sandhausen and 2.00 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Sandhausen 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 47%, draw 26%, Waldhof Mannheim 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024
15:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →
15:00 1860 München vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →
15:00 Verl vs Unterhaching Analysis →
15:00 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
17:30 Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt Analysis →