Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Alemannia Aachen
1-1 HT 1-0
Ingolstadt
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.02
1/2
13%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
16%
6.09
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
18%
4.78
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
9%
3.33
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
0.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.19
-53% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
25.4 Crosses 17.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
08.04.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-3 HT 1-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
23.10.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
06.03.2011 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 2-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
17.10.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
20.02.2009 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
12.09.2008 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2

Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
167 Passes 385
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen and Ingolstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 36% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 64%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt?

Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 36%, draw 31%, Ingolstadt 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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