1860 München 2-3 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.58
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.52
X/2
12%
5.74
X/X
7%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.78
2/X
10%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.83
+16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.8 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 2.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
369 Passes 233
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
22.10.2022 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
15.01.2022 1860 München 1860 München 3-2 HT 1-2 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
31.07.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
08.05.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
18.12.2020 1860 München 1860 München 2-2 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
2-3
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
409 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden nicked a narrow win over 1860 München 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Wehen Wiesbaden made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, 1860 München had 62% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 38%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 1860 München and 1.33 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

1860 München 2-3 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 35%, draw 27%, Wehen Wiesbaden 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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