Verl 2-0 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
20%
4.24
X/2
7%
9.18
X/X
10%
5.64
2/1
7%
21.4
2/2
13%
6.46
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.03/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.71
+16% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
10.0 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
02.09.2023 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
14.03.2021 Verl Verl 2-1 HT 2-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
12.01.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-4 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2-0
AWAY Unterhaching
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
512 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Verl vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl saw off Unterhaching 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Verl had 66% of the ball to Unterhaching's 34%, shots finished 23-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Verl and 1.25 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Verl vs Unterhaching?

Verl 2-0 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Verl 51%, draw 23%, Unterhaching 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024
15:00 Sandhausen vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
15:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →
15:00 1860 München vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →
15:00 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
17:30 Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt Analysis →