Glentoran FC 3-3 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.72
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 41% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.5
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.65
X/1
12%
4.19
X/2
9%
7.97
X/X
16%
4.62
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
14%
6.61
2/X
5%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.7pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.86
-38% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.08.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.05.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC and Glenavon FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.17 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Glenavon FC?

Glentoran FC 3-3 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 38%, draw 32%, Glenavon FC 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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