Floriana 0-2 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
24%
2.77
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
33%
-8.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Birkirkara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
07.11.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-3 HT 1-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.02.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.01.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
03.09.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
0-2
AWAY Birkirkara
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara saw off Floriana 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Floriana had 64% of the ball to Birkirkara's 36%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Floriana and 0.83 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Birkirkara?

Floriana 0-2 Birkirkara in the MALTP on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Floriana 47%, draw 24%, Birkirkara 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Floriana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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