Corinthians 0-2 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.0pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.63/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.78
+12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.8 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Coritiba
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.76 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
438 Passes 345
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
13.08.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
10.11.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 2-2 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
21.07.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
26.11.2020 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.08.2020 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-2
AWAY Coritiba
0.67 xG 0.56
73% Ball Possession 27%
11 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
505 Passes 156
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 9
43 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba saw off Corinthians 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Corinthians had 73% of the ball to Coritiba's 27%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.67 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Coritiba?

Corinthians 0-2 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 53%, draw 28%, Coritiba 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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