Flamengo 2-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Mar 2026

Flamengo
2-0 HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
📅12/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 22% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
12%
5.31
2/1
8%
24.35
2/2
7%
10.5
2/X
5%
19.3
Value flag · X/1 at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.73/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.40
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.1 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
422 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.10.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
05.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.11.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
01.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1

Flamengo 2-0 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.24 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
339 Passes 431
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo beat Cruzeiro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Flamengo had 44% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 56%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.24 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flamengo and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Flamengo 2-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 60%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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