Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bahia v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia and Vitoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bahia at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in Bahia's favour, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.95 to 0.47.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Bahia against 1.00 for Vitoria.
Bahia vs Vitoria Result & Final Score
Bahia 1 - 1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bahia 57%, draw 25%, Vitoria 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.