Bahia vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BRCDN
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BRB1
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia and Vitoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bahia at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Bahia had 63% of the ball to Vitoria's 37%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.95 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bahia and 1.00 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Vitoria?
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bahia 58%, draw 21%, Vitoria 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No went the other way.