Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.77
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.73
X/2
10%
7.28
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
9%
5.4
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.41/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.47
+11% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.2 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Internacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2025 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
13.06.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
27.10.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-3 HT 1-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
27.06.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
01.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.05.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-0
AWAY Internacional
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 14
208 Passes 422
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro nicked a narrow win over Internacional 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 35% of the ball to Internacional's 65%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.67 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional?

Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 49%, draw 25%, Internacional 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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