Real Espana 4-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.09
No
43%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Espana win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+13.2pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria The Market 15%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.85/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.91
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
409 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.11.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
11.09.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-3 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
21.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
17.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
25.11.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
20.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana ran out comfortable winners over CD Victoria 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Real Espana 4-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 63%, draw 24%, CD Victoria 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
12 Mar 2026
00:00 Genesis PN vs Olancho Analysis →
02:15 Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Analysis →