CD Victoria 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.04/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.10
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.02.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
25.11.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
20.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
14.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
18.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Real Espana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Victoria and 1.33 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Real Espana?

CD Victoria 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 28%, draw 26%, Real Espana 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
21 Apr 2025
00:00 Juticalpa vs Olancho Analysis →
02:15 CD Olimpia vs Motagua Analysis →