Real Espana 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
1.77/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.13
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25.11.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
20.09.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
14.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
18.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.07.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana squeezed past CD Victoria 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Espana and 1.67 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Real Espana 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 44%, draw 29%, CD Victoria 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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