CD Real Sociedad 1-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -27%
1.33/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.76
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
19.09.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
01.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.08.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad and Lobos UPNFM couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Real Sociedad at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Real Sociedad 1-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 41%, draw 31%, Lobos UPNFM 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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