Olancho 1-1 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.98
-11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Juticalpa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
30.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.07.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Juticalpa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Olancho carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Olancho and 0.50 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Juticalpa?

Olancho 1-1 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olancho 55%, draw 26%, Juticalpa 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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