Juticalpa 0-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 59%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.50
-81% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +97%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Olancho
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17.02.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 0-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
30.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.07.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho squeezed past Juticalpa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juticalpa and 0.67 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Olancho?

Juticalpa 0-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 30%, draw 23%, Olancho 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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