CD Olimpia 1-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.21/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.16
-12% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Motagua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
16.02.2025 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
20.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
27.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
12.05.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-4 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua squeezed past CD Olimpia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.17 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

CD Olimpia 1-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 45%, draw 31%, Motagua 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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