CD Olimpia 0-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.57/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.19
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Motagua
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
20.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
27.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
12.05.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-4 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-3 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
22.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua squeezed past CD Olimpia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.83 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

CD Olimpia 0-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 41%, draw 25%, Motagua 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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