Motagua 1-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.39/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.73
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
27.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
12.05.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-4 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-3 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
22.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
25.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Motagua and 2.17 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Motagua 1-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Motagua 31%, draw 33%, CD Olimpia 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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