Motagua 0-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.7pp
37%
Draw
31%
+6.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.34
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
20.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
27.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
12.05.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-4 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-3 HT 2-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia saw off Motagua 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 37% / 32%) promised a tight game; CD Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Motagua and 1.67 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Motagua 0-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Motagua 30%, draw 37%, CD Olimpia 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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