Najma 1-3 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Najma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.10/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.27
+15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.8 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Najma
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.31 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
224 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.11.2025 Damac FC Damac FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Najma SUUD
23.09.2025 Najma 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
25.09.2024 Najma 2-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Najma
1-3
AWAY Damac FC
0.60 xG 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
261 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Najma vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC beat Najma 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Damac FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Najma had 43% of the ball to Damac FC's 57%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.60 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Najma had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Najma and 0.33 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Najma vs Damac FC?

Najma 1-3 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Najma vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Najma 37%, draw 26%, Damac FC 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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