Boston United 1-0 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.69
2-3
43%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.07
6+
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.65
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
9%
5.79
X/2
10%
5.86
X/X
10%
5.18
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.72
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.68/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.62
+17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
47 · 97% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 49 · 97%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Altrincham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İBSL
01.08.2020 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İCON
01.04.2014 Altrincham Altrincham 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United nicked a narrow win over Altrincham 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Boston United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boston United and 1.00 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Altrincham?

Boston United 1-0 Altrincham in the England - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boston United 34%, draw 26%, Altrincham 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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