Rochdale 4-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
15%
4.13
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
15%
4.96
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
10%
7.52
2/X
8%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
2.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.49
+30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
135 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 116 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastleigh
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 4-2 HT 2-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
16.03.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-4 HT 1-2 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
19.08.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
4-0
AWAY Eastleigh
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
3 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale ran out comfortable winners over Eastleigh 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Rochdale had 45% of the ball to Eastleigh's 55%, shots finished 7-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rochdale and 1.67 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Eastleigh?

Rochdale 4-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 45%, draw 31%, Eastleigh 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
12 Apr 2025
14:30 Barnet vs Wealdstone Analysis →
17:00 Yeovil vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Halifax Town vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
17:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Woking vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
17:00 Southend United vs Solihull Moors Analysis →