Ebbsfleet United 4-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.08
1/2
8%
22.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
9%
8.25
X/2
13%
4.54
X/X
11%
5.52
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.45
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.03/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.94
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
133 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 167 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
0 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 3-3 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İNFAT
21.09.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
01.02.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
26.10.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 2-3 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
26.01.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
14.08.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
4-1
AWAY Sutton United
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
4 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United ran out comfortable winners over Sutton United 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 54% of the ball to Sutton United's 46%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.83 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Sutton United?

Ebbsfleet United 4-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 26%, draw 26%, Sutton United 48%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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