Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Apr 2025

Dagenham & Redbridge
1-1 HT 0-1
Hartlepool United
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - National League – 2024/2025

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.78
Over
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.89
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.72
6+
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.0
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
10%
6.63
X/2
16%
4.81
X/X
7%
4.63
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.07
2/X ✓
14%
13.95
Value flag · 2/X at 13.95 — our 14% vs market 4.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dagenham & Redbridge v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.55/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
125 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 142 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hartlepool United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
13.04.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
23.09.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
02.04.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
23.03.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
21.12.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge and Hartlepool United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 63% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 37%, shots finished 19-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hartlepool United?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 32%, draw 27%, Hartlepool United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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