Bath City 2-2 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 34% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.96/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.30
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
12.02.2022 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
09.10.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
05.12.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
19.07.2020 Bath City Bath City 1-2 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
01.02.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
2-2
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City and Dorking Wanderers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bath City had 56% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bath City and 1.67 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Bath City 2-2 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bath City 26%, draw 31%, Dorking Wanderers 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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