Chesham United vs Farnborough Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesham United v Farnborough — Team-Based Signals
Chesham United vs Farnborough Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Chesham United
İNGNLP
1-3
HT 1-1
Farnborough
İNGNLP
Chesham United edged past Farnborough 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Chesham United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Farnborough led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chesham United and 2.00 for Farnborough.
What was the final score of Chesham United vs Farnborough?
Chesham United 2-1 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Farnborough?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 40%, draw 25%, Farnborough 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.