Chester 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.31/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.80
-30% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
11.11.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-2 HT 3-0 Chester Chester İCON
01.04.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
08.10.2022 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
12.02.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-1 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
13.11.2021 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
2-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chester vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester edged past Darlington 1883 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chester had 59% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 41%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chester and 1.67 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Chester vs Darlington 1883?

Chester 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chester 50%, draw 29%, Darlington 1883 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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